“They will learn from the workflow in which they’re engaged,” Autor says. “Often people will be in the process of working with a tool, and the tool will be learning from that interaction.”
“I think there are a lot of discretionary white-collar jobs where you’re kind of using a mixture of hard information and soft information and trying to make advanced decisions,” Autor says. “People aren’t that good at that, machines aren’t that good at that, but probably machines can be pretty much as good as people.”
“It’s not that we’re going to run out of work. It’s much more that people are doing something they’re good at, and that thing goes away. And then they end up doing a kind of generic activity that everybody’s good at, which means it pays very little—food service, cleaning, security, vehicle driving,” Autor says. “These are low-paying activities.”
“The hollowing out of manufacturing and office work over the past 40 years has definitely put downward pressure on the wages of people who would do that type of work, and it’s not because they’re doing it now at a lower rate of pay. It’s because they’re not doing it,” Autor says.
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